Why Plaid Cymru is on the Rise in Wales

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Labour's dominance in Wales in under threat in the next Senedd election with both Reform and Plaid Cymru rising in the polls. So in this video, we'll take a look at why Labour's stocks are falling and what a potential Plaid government might look like.

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Sources:

Plaid Cymru leads YouGov/ITV poll:
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/52116-first-yougov-voting-intention-in-wales-since-2024-general-election-shows-collapse-in-labour-support 
https://www.itv.com/news/wales/2025-05-06/labour-support-collapses-as-plaid-cymru-and-reform-battle-it-out-itv-poll 

YouGov, approval of UK and devolved governments:
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/51513-do-scottish-and-welsh-people-approve-of-their-governments 

Welsh independence polling:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_on_Welsh_independence

Plaid says no referendum in first term:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0454xvyy4xo 

Winter fuel payment cut in Wales:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cdx92n4z0l6o 

Disability cuts in Wales:
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/apr/24/wales-and-north-of-england-face-disability-cuts-double-whammy
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd0205xyrl7o 

Labour struggling in Wales:
https://www.publicaffairsnetworking.com/news/one-year-to-save-welsh-labour 

Port Talbot vs Scunthorpe steel:
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/government-stepped-save-british-steel-31413060 

20mph speed limit polling:
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/50349-wales-overwhelmingly-rejects-the-20mph-speed-limit

Welsh FM criticises UK Labour:
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/may/06/welsh-labour-first-minister-says-she-is-losing-patience-with-starmers-policies  

NHS in Wales:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqlle33n77lo
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c62g10z7d5mo 

Country statistics used (over 65s, farms per capita, etc):
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/bulletins/populationandhouseholdestimateswales/census2021
https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/publications/scotlands-population-2023-the-registrar-generals-annual-review-of-demographic-trends/
https://www.nisra.gov.uk/system/files/statistics/MYE23-bulletin_1.pdf 
https://www.gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-08/farming-facts-and-figures-2021-695.pdf
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/farming-evidence-pack-a-high-level-overview-of-the-uk-agricultural-industry/farming-evidence-key-statistics-accessible-version

00:00 - Introduction
01:16 - Polling
02:28 - Independence?
03:25 - Labour's fall & Plaid's rise
06:49 - Conclusion
07:29 - Sponsored content